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Fundamental and Technical Analysis of Thales S.A. (HO.PA) March 2025

Fundamental Analysis

Introduction

Thales S.A. (HO.PA) is a prominent player in the Aerospace & Defense industry, renowned for its diverse range of solutions across defense and security, aerospace and space, digital identity and security, and transport markets.

With a strong presence globally, Thales S.A. operates through four main business segments: Aerospace, Defence & Security, Digital Identity & Security, and Ground Transportation Systems.

Analysis of the Latest Quarterly and Annual Financial Results

Thales S.A. reported strong financial performance for the latest quarter and year. The company achieved a net income of €1,007.4 million for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2023, reflecting a 7.4% increase in earnings from the previous year.

The total revenue for the same period was €20.577 billion, growing by 14.1% year over year.

Revenue, Profit, and Margin Trends

The company’s revenue has been consistently growing, with a significant increase in profit margins. The gross profit margin stood at 26.12% for the fiscal year, while the operating margin was 9.00%.

The profit margins have been stable, indicating efficient cost management and operational excellence.

Beta (Monthly Over 5 Years)

The beta of Thales S.A. (HO.PA) is 0.621, indicating that the stock is relatively stable and less volatile compared to the overall market.

This stability is beneficial for investors seeking a more predictable return on investment.

Balance Sheet and Cash Flow: Key Points and Trends

The balance sheet of Thales S.A. shows a strong financial position, with total cash of €4.768 billion and a total debt of €7.823 billion. The quick ratio is 0.597, and the current ratio is 0.83, suggesting that the company has sufficient liquidity to meet its short-term obligations.

The free cash flow for the year was €3.478 billion, highlighting the company’s strong cash generation capabilities.

Important Financial Ratios

Key financial ratios include the Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio of 48.92, Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 6.55, and Return on Equity (ROE) of 12.84%. These ratios provide insights into the company’s valuation and profitability.

The enterprise value to revenue ratio is 2.512, indicating a reasonable valuation relative to its revenue generation.

Technical Analysis

Analysis of the Stock Price Movement for the Current and Previous Year

The stock price of Thales S.A. (HO.PA) has shown consistent growth over the past year. The average closing price was €154.17, with a high of €247.20 and a low of €136.50. The volume of trading has been relatively stable, with an average daily volume of 350,639 shares.

Analysis of Common Technical Indicators

Technical indicators such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI), Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), and moving averages provide valuable insights into the stock’s performance.

  • The RSI indicates the stock’s momentum, while the MACD helps identify potential trend reversals.
  • Moving averages, such as the 50-day and 200-day averages, provide a smoother view of the stock’s price trend.

Evaluation of Current Trends and Potential Buy or Sell Signals

  • The current trends suggest a bullish outlook for Thales S.A. (HO.PA).
  • The stock has been consistently moving upwards, and technical indicators such as the RSI and MACD are in favor of a continuing upward trend.

However, it is essential to monitor potential sell signals, such as a significant drop in the RSI below 30 or a divergence in the MACD.

Medium and Long-Term Price Target Recommendations

Based on technical analysis, the medium-term price target for Thales S.A. (HO.PA) is estimated to be around €250.00.

For the long term, the price target is projected to be around €280.00, assuming continued growth and positive market conditions.

Summary Table of Recommendations

Investment Stance Medium-Term Price Target Long-Term Price Target Trend Invalidation Level
Bullish €250.00 €280.00 €180.00

Conclusion

In conclusion, Thales S.A. (HO.PA) presents a compelling investment opportunity with strong financial performance, consistent growth, and a stable market position.

Both fundamental and technical analyses support a bullish outlook, making it an attractive option for investors seeking growth in the Aerospace & Defense sector.

FAQ

What is the beta of Thales S.A. (HO.PA)?

The beta of Thales S.A. (HO.PA) is 0.621, indicating a relatively stable stock compared to the overall market.

What are the key financial ratios for Thales S.A. (HO.PA)?

Key financial ratios include the P/E ratio of 48.92, P/B ratio of 6.55, and ROE of 12.84%.

What is the medium-term price target for Thales S.A. (HO.PA)?

The medium-term price target for Thales S.A. (HO.PA) is estimated to be around €208.20.

What is the trend invalidation level for Thales S.A. (HO.PA)?

The trend invalidation level for Thales S.A. (HO.PA) is €180.00.

Disclaimer: The information provided in this article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Always conduct thorough research and consider consulting with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

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